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Five skills to hone for seeing future trends in business

Every entrepreneur realizes that change is now the norm, and they have to adapt their business quickly to survive and prosper. In fact, the best entrepreneurs seem to see breakthrough changes coming even before they really happen, and are able to turn them into huge new opportunities. In the trade, this rare capability is called the ability to see around corners.

While only a few people seem to be born with the right genes, I’m convinced that it is also a skill that can be learned and even institutionalized. In the classic book, ‘The Attackers’s Advantage’ by world-renowned business advisor Ram Charan, I found some real guidance on what skills are required, what to look for, and how to react in time. Here is a summary of his five basic strategies:

Always on the alert, sensing for signals and meaning of change. Technically, this is known as perceptual acuity. Smart entrepreneurs compare perceptions with a diverse group of leaders and experts on a regular basis. They search for impending changes across multiple environments, and reflect on these to spark new ideas for growth.

A mind-set to see opportunity in uncertainty.Uncertainty is an invitation to go on the attack and entrepreneurs need to be always ready to take their business to a new place in the changing landscape. They should never be defensive, and accept reality when core competencies are actually a hindrance to moving in a more promising direction.

The ability to see a new path forward and commit to it. Leading entrepreneurs don’t wait for everyone to agree with their view of where to take the business, and have the courage of their convictions. They pursue new opportunities with tenacity, identify the obstacles they need to overcome, the blockages that stand in the way, and attack them.

Adeptness in managing the transition to the new path. These entrepreneurs stay connected to both external and internal realities to know when to accelerate and when to shift the short-term/long-term balance, with a sharp eye on cash flow and debt. They create and meet short-term milestones to win credibility with investors and stakeholders.

Skill in making the organization steerable and agile. No business leader can succeed in driving change without being able to bring key people on the team along. They learn to be agile, or steerable, by linking the external realities in real time to assignments, priorities, decision-making power, funding, and key performance indicators.

Examples of recent entrepreneurs who exemplify these attributes include Steve Jobs, who moved Apple from a computer company to smart phones and music, Elon Musk, who seems to be capitalizing on structural changes in the auto industry and space travel, and Jeff Bezos, who parlayed selling books on the Internet to a whole new paradigm for shopping from home.

Too many entrepreneurs allow the pressures of daily crises and total immersion in tactical details to narrow their thinking and to lower the altitude of their view. Everyone needs to find and hone the techniques that work for them in maintaining that perceptual acuity. Here are a few that both Charan and I recommend to get started:

  • Set aside ten minutes of each weekly staff meeting for that purpose.
  • Seek contrary viewpoints from people you respect, rather than compiling support.
  • Regularly dissect the past, to look for change signals you and others missed.
  • Continually increase your mental map of key changes in multiple industries.
  • Evaluate who might use an invention, patent, or new law to create a bend in the road.
  • Use outsiders to multiply your capacity to scan for disrupting patterns.
  • Watch the social scene, looking for new consumer behaviors and trends.
  • Be a voracious reader in all forms of media, both online and offline.

Even if you can’t see around the corners, it helps to have the perceptual acuity to see bends in the road before others. With that, and the courage to accelerate towards them as opportunities, rather than slowing down to mount a defense, you too can be a winner, rather than a victim in today’s uncertain but unlimited market.

 

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Amb. Kintu Nyago redeployed to S. Africa

MOVED TO SOUTH AFRICA: Ambassador Kintu Nyago

Uganda’s Deputy Permanent Representative to New York Ambassador Kintu Nyago has been transferred to South Africa.

Margaret Kafeero, an official of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, confirmed Amb. Kintu Nyago’s new posting, noting that he will soon assume office.  She also refuted assertions that Kintu Nyago’s deployment to South Africa was a demotion.

Kintu Nyago, who deputized Dr. Richard Nduhuura, was appointed Ambassador by President Yoweri Museveni in 2010, after serving as a presidential aide.

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NMG appoints American media guru to Board

Stephen-Dunbar-Jonshon. Photo/Agencies

The Nation Media Group (NMG) has appointed a New York Times top executive to join its Board of Directors. The recent appointment of Stephen Dunbar-Jonshon is seen as a deliberate bid to bring global experience as it gears to strengthen its digital segment and convergence to turn around its fortunes.

His appointment was communicated by Group Company Secretary James Kinyua in a notice to the Nairobi Securities Exchange.

Dunbar-Johnson is the President, International, of the New York Times Company, and is responsible for the oversight and strategic development of the company’s international digital and print business. Previously, he was the publisher of the International Herald Tribune, a position he assumed in January 2008. In this role he is responsible for both the journalistic and business operations of the newspaper.

Prior to joining IHT in 1988, he served as UK Advertisement Director of the Financial Times. During his 12 at the FT, he held various positions in the paper’s advertising department, including Advertising Manager in France and Vice President of Advertising in the Americas based in New York.

Dunbar-Johnson is a graduate of Worth School and Kent University in the United Kingdom and holds an MBA (Executive Management) from Wharton School and the University of Pennsylvania and has undertaken the Sulzberger program at the Columbia School of Journalism.

NMG has been strengthening its board in recent times bringing on board former Standard Managing Director (Print Editions) Francis Munywoki.

It is also actively searching for a substantive CEO with former Kenya Vision 2030 Director General Mugo Kibati said to be the front runner.

 

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Local rice growers warn government against rice importation

Husked (Brown ) rice

Local rice growers under the umbrella of the Rice Association of Uganda (RAU) has warned government against the uncontrolled importation of brown rice into the country, saying it is stifling their business.

“At a time when domestic production contributes nearly 80% of the total amount of rice consumed each year, the sector faces challenges such as uncontrolled importation of rice with concessions and duty waivers, inconsistent and erratic tax and other policy changes, and a reduced market for domestic rice,” RAU said in a recent statement.

“What we have seen in the last three years are upheavals in the rice sector resulting in a shift from the basic principle of import substitution to a pro-imports stance,” Dr. John S.J.Daniel said in a communiqué RAU issued last week.

The rice growers say that the unchecked inflow of foreign rice into Uganda will displace Ugandan and EAC rice on the market.

“As evidenced in the last three years, the imported rice will flood the market and depress the price of domestic and EAC rice,” he said in a communiqué, warning that as a consequence, local farmers will have no choice but to stop farming rice. “Our domestic production will fall, necessitating more importation to meet consumption. In other words, importation of duty free rice only leads to further dependence on imports,” he said.

RAU warns that rice imported into Uganda comes from a heavily subsidized environment where governments ensure that production is high and market prices are kept low in order to ensure low prices for consumers and to increase exports. Such agricultural subsidies are not available in Uganda. Rice growers, in Asian countries, pocketed at least $60b in subsidies in 2014/15, twice as much as maize farmers, the second most supported category of farmers.

RAU says that uncontrolled importation of rice from countries like Pakistan will make the investments local growers have put in rice enterprises useless. Overall, total investment is the range of US$400m.

RAU says standalone medium and large rice mills have invested: US$15 – 20m; Large scale farming including on-site milling facilities invested US$100-120m; Government investment in rice irrigation schemes is $50-60m, while small scale farmers and single stage mills: have invested an estimated US$165-200m.

The millers are clamouring for Husked (Brown) rice importation with import duty concessions and waivers, and RAU says it has over 200,000 farmers in regions of the country which calls for government recognition.

“We need to be recognised and heard,|” reads the communiqué also signed by Bongomin Andrew Okot and Haji Ahmed Naleba, coordinators for Northern Chapter and Easter Chapter of rice growers, respectively.

“Production in Uganda has increased year on year due to a protective stance taken by regional governments. The EAC CET in 2004 put in place duties that offset the above-mentioned subsidies making all imported rice sell at a price slightly higher than locally produced rice. In Uganda, price (courtesy EAC CET) has been the sole incentive for the growth of the domestic sector attracting both foreign and domestic large-scale and local small-scale farmers into rice farming,” RAU officials say.

 

 

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Dibango promises a great time at Masekela tribute concert

As Uganda joins the rest of the world to celebrate the International Jazz Day, celebrated jazz phenomenon Manu Dibango who is in the country for the first time, has promised to go all out in tonight’s annual Isaiah Katumwa concert at Kampala Serena Hotel.

The Johnnie Walker-sponsored concert will also double as a tribute to the late South African jazz maestro Hugh Masekela.

Katumwa described Dibango coming to Uganda as a ‘great relief after waiting long’.

“We are here to pay respect to one of the greatest and everyone should enjoy the show. I can only promise a good show tonight,” said Dibango this morning at a press conference.

At the same event, multiple award winning South African Afro-soul songstress Siphokazi Maraqana, who will also grace the stage tonight, hailed Masekela`s influence on her 12-year-old music career. She also expressed the feeling of sharing a stage with Dibango and Katumwa.

“He was like a teacher to me and I learnt so many things from him. I feel great pleasure in playing on the same stage as my big brothers Katumwa and Dibango. It’s my first time here and I hope to come back in future,” said Siphokazi Maraqana.

Entrance to the show is Shs150, 000 for regular tickets and Shs3m for a table. The show starts at 7pm.

 

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Singer Walukaga agrees to take care of kid sired with maid

Singer turned politician, Mathias Walukaga.

After denying fathering a child with his housemaid for close to a month, singer Mathias Walukaga has finally accepted to take responsibility.

This was after the Minister of State for Youth and Children Affairs, Nakiwala Kiyingi, forced the singer to take a DNA test.

Initially, Walukaga had vowed not to take any DNA test, arguing that he had never been intimate with the maid. Instead, he said, it was one of his dancers who was once in a relationship with her.

But following the evacuation of the maid and the kid from Mityana to Naguru to be subjected to a DNA test on orders of Minister Nakiyingi, Walukaga agreed to take care of the kid, saying that even if he underwent a test, a plan was already in place to declare him as the father of the kid.

He named the kid after the head of his clan and told media that all he was waiting for is the mother and baby to return to Mityana then agree on the sum of money he will be giving her every month for their upkeep.

 

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Somalia to host international summit on illegal charcoal trade

Somali armed men at a place where the export of charcoal was being carried out

Somalia is to host an international conference to stop the illegal trade, and unsustainable production and use of charcoal in the war-ravaged Horn of Africa country.

According to a release, two-day conference from May 7-8 supported by the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), UN Environment and the Food and Agriculture Organisation of the United Nations (FAO), with funding from the European Union, Sweden and Italy, will be attended by high level Government officials, senior UN representatives, international and Somali environment experts, and international donor partners.

Key personalities at the summit under the theme: ‘Building Partnerships to Curb Unsustainable Charcoal Trade, Production and Use in Somalia’, will include among others Somali Prime Minister Hassan Ali Khayre, Peter de Clercq, Deputy Special Representative of the Secretary General, Humanitarian Coordinator and United Nations Resident Coordinator for Somalia and Erik Solheim, Executive Director, UN Environment.

‘…will for the first time convene in Mogadishu for a milestone Somali Government-led conference to stop the illegal trade, and unsustainable production and use of charcoal in Somalia,’ the release reads in part.

Export of charcoal from Somalia has been banned by a 2012 United Nations Security Council resolution and the Somali government due to its destructive effect on the environment, and its exacerbation of conflict and humanitarian crises.

Over 8 million trees were cut down for charcoal in Somalia between 2011 and 2017, increasing land degradation and food insecurity. Illegal trade in charcoal acts as major source of funding for militias and terrorist groups such as Al Shabaab, who illegally tax exports.

‘The Somali Government-led event therefore aims to urgently build alliances amongst consumer countries and international and local experts and donors. It intends to rally support for concrete action, including partnerships with investors, to stop the illegal trade and to strengthen ongoing work in developing alternative livelihoods and alternative energy sources in Somalia,’ the release adds.

 

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UK gets new Home Secretary

NAMED: New Home Secretary Sajid Javid, Photo credit /Victoria Jones/PA Wire

Sajid Javid has today been named as Britain’s new interior minister after Amber Rudd resigned as home secretary, having ‘inadvertently misled’ lawmakers about deportation targets for illegal immigrants.

Prime Minister Theresa May’s Downing Street office announced the appointment in a statement. “The Queen has been pleased to approve the appointment of the Rt Hon Sajid Javid MP as Secretary of State for the Home Department,” May’s office said in a statement.

Javid, Britain’s former communities secretary, is the first minority politician to hold one of Britain’s four top government jobs. He is the the son of a Pakistani bus driver who immigrated to the UK in the 1960s.

Amber Rudd resigned late on Sunday, saying she had ‘inadvertently’ misled lawmakers about whether the government had deportation targets.

The furor began when the Guardian newspaper reported that some people who came to the UK from the Caribbean after World War II had recently been refused medical care in Britain or threatened with deportation because they could not produce paperwork proving their right to live here.

Javid has expressed anger at the treatment of those UK citizens, telling the Sunday Telegraph: “That could be me.”

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Kirumira appeals against conviction

Assistant Inspector of Police (AIP) Muhammad Kirumira's Petition

Embattled former Buyende District Commander Assistant Superintendent of Police Muhammad Kirumira has petitioned the Chairperson of Police Council Appellate Court, seeking to overturn his conviction.

Kirumira, former Buyende District Police Commander (DPC).

On April 19 Kirumira was convicted for unlawful use of authority and the police tribunal ordered he be demoted by two ranks, from Assistant Superintendent of Police (ASP) to Assistant Inspector of Police (AIP).

But challenging tribunal’s decision, Kirumira argues that it based on erroneous findings to convict him. He cites the matter of one Kamadi Kayizzi who, he argues, testified to have voluntarily shifted to another place despite Kirumira being pinned for his forceful eviction.

“They failed to produce other witnesses including the said wife (principle) of Kamada Kayizzi whom I allegedly ordered to vacate and others including the landlord and the defense Secretary Mr. Genza Muhammad,” reads part of the petition.

He also noted that tribunal declined to consider the evidence of the defense and its submissions yet court was notified that the prosecution did not produce the communication details between the said telephone contacts to the effect of proving the said threats via phone.

 

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Uganda coffee exports fetch US$36m in March

Uganda’s exported 333,346 60-kilo bags of coffee worth US$35.74m in March, representing a decrease of 18.68 percent and 29.15 percent in quantity and value, respectively.

In a recently-released report by the Uganda Coffee Development Authority (UCDA), the exports comprised 224,036 bags ($21.85m) of Robusta and 109,310 bags ($13.88m) of Arabica coffee.

The authority further said that compared to the same month last year, Robusta exports decreased by 29.17 percent while Arabica exports increased 16.78 percent.  In terms of value, both Robusta and Arabica decreased by 40.19 percent and 0.14 percent, respectively.

However, coffee exports for 12 months (April 2017-March 2018) totalled 4.69m bags worth US$528m, compared to 3.90m bags worth US$439m in the previous year (March 2016-February 2017).This was an increase of 20.45 percent and 20.27 percent in quantity and value, respectively.

The European Union was the top destination for Uganda’s coffee exports during the month of March 2018 as the bloc bought 233,958 bags but lower than 246,110 bags exported in the previous month.

EU was followed by Sudan with 45,175 bags compared to 62,932 bags the previous month. USA imported 12,283 bags compared to 11,308. Morocco imported 9,060 bags compared to 8,046 bags and Algeria imported 8,013bags compared to 7,464 bags in February 2018.

Coffee exports to Africa amounted to 69,638 bags, a market share of 20.89% compared to 87,478 (22.41%) bags the previous month.

Among the first 10 importers of Uganda coffee, five were African countries, indicating intercontinental trading, says UCDA.

Some of the buyers of Uganda coffee in March included Olam International, Sucafina S.A, Bernhard Rothfoss, Touton Geneva, Volcate and Ecom Agro Industrial.

The top 10 buyers held a market share of 59.91 percent of total exports higher than 57.97 percent the previous month. Olam International led with a market share of 11.70 percent.

UCDA says 275,178,950 coffee seedlings are currently available in 2,492 coffee nurseries for planting in the five coffee growing regions for the period March and May 2018 season. “Last coffee planting season September/ November 2017, a total of 131,019,698 coffee seedlings was reported planted in 102 coffee growing districts compared to 157,063,064 coffee seedlings that was available in the 2,089 nurseries,” UCDA adds.

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